Delphi Method Resources

Foundational Papers

• Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (2002). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications.
  The classic comprehensive guide to Delphi methodology
• Hsu, C. C., & Sandford, B. A. (2007). "The Delphi technique: making sense of consensus."
  Practical Assessment, Research, and Evaluation, 12(10), 1-8.
  Accessible introduction for beginners
• Hasson, F., Keeney, S., & McKenna, H. (2000). "Research guidelines for the Delphi survey technique."
  Journal of Advanced Nursing, 32(4), 1008-1015.
  Practical guidelines for conducting Delphi studies
• Diamond, I. R., et al. (2014). "Defining consensus: a systematic review recommends methodologic criteria for reporting of Delphi studies."
  Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 67(4), 401-409.
  Evidence-based recommendations for Delphi methodology
• Beiderbeck, D., Frevel, N., von der Gracht, H. A., Schmidt, S. L., & Schweitzer, V. M. (2021). "Preparing, conducting, and analyzing Delphi surveys: Cross-disciplinary practices, new directions, and advancements."
  MethodsX, 8, 101401.
  Comprehensive guide covering the entire Delphi process with modern best practices
• Gnatzy, T., Warth, J., von der Gracht, H., & Darkow, I. L. (2011). "Validating an innovative real-time Delphi approach-a methodological comparison between real-time and conventional Delphi studies."
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78(9), 1681-1694.
  Validation of real-time Delphi methodology - essential reading for Durvey users
• Tapio, P., Paloniemi, R., Varho, V., & Vinnari, M. (2011). "The unholy marriage? Integrating qualitative and quantitative information in Delphi processes."
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78(9), 1616-1628.
  Guide to combining qualitative and quantitative data in Delphi studies
• Von der Gracht, H. A., & Darkow, I. L. (2010). "Scenarios for the logistics services industry: A Delphi-based analysis for 2025."
  International Journal of Production Economics, 127(1), 46-59.
  Practical application example of Delphi for scenario planning and forecasting

Analysis & Interpretation

Essential readings for analyzing Delphi study results, including statistical methods, dissent analysis, scenario development, and sentiment interpretation.

• Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (2002). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications.
  The classic comprehensive guide to Delphi methodology
• Field, A. (2024). Discovering statistics using IBM SPSS statistics. Sage publications limited.
  Comprehensive guide to statistical analysis techniques
• Rowe, G., & Wright, G. (1996). "The impact of task characteristics on the performance of structured group forecasting techniques."
  International Journal of Forecasting, 12(1), 73-89.
  Understanding dissent and disagreement in expert panels
• Ecken, P., Gnatzy, T., & von der Gracht, H. A. (2011). "Desirability bias in foresight: Consequences for decision quality based on Delphi results."
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78(9), 1654-1670.
  Identifying and addressing bias in expert responses
• Roßmann, B., Canzaniello, A., von der Gracht, H., & Hartmann, E. (2018). "The future and social impact of Big Data Analytics in Supply Chain Management: Results from a Delphi study."
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 130, 135-149.
  Practical example of scenario analysis and interpretation
• Bezdek, J. C., Keller, J., Krisnapuram, R., & Pal, N. (1999). Fuzzy models and algorithms for pattern recognition and image processing (Vol. 4). Springer Science & Business Media.
  Advanced clustering and pattern recognition techniques
• Loye, D. (1980). "Personality and prediction."
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 16(2), 93-104.
  Understanding sentiment and personality influences in expert forecasting
• Landeta, J. (2006). "Current validity of the Delphi method in social sciences."
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73(5), 467-482.
  Validation and reliability of Delphi methodology
• Mauksch, S., von der Gracht, H. A., & Gordon, T. J. (2020). "Who is an expert for foresight? A review of identification methods."
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 154, 119982.
  Expert selection criteria and validation methods
• Rammstedt, B. (2007). "The 10-item big five inventory."
  European Journal of Psychological Assessment, 23(3), 193-201.
  Personality assessment tools for expert characterization

Books

• Rowe, G., & Wright, G. (1999). The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis.
  In-depth analysis of Delphi as a forecasting method
• Okoli, C., & Pawlowski, S. D. (2004). The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications.
  Practical guide with real-world examples

Analysis Software

• SPSS / STATA / R: Statistical analysis for quantitative data
• NVivo / MAXQDA: Qualitative analysis for Round 1 open-ended responses
• Excel / Google Sheets: Basic descriptive statistics and visualization

Document Templates

• Expert invitation letter template
• Informed consent form
• Round instructions template
• Feedback summary template
• Final report structure

Templates coming soon in the Community section!

Recommended Learning Paths

• Coursera: Research methods courses covering Delphi technique
• YouTube: "Delphi Method Explained" tutorials and webinars
• ResearchGate: Join the Delphi Method research community
• LinkedIn Learning: Research design and survey methodology courses

Connect with Other Researchers

• ResearchGate: Delphi Method discussion groups
• Reddit: r/AskAcademia and r/SocialScience
• LinkedIn: Research Methods and Delphi Study groups
• Twitter/X: #DelphiMethod #ResearchMethods